Effect of time spent conviction-free on recidivism risk for our sexual offending population in Aotearoa New Zealand (PID139)

10.55am – 11.17am NZDT, 3 March 2026 ‐ 22 mins

Parallel Workshops

The time-free effect is a measure of desistance that looks at how time spent conviction-free in the community impacts on someone's likelihood of reoffending. Individuals who have committed sexual offences are often subject to more intensive community supervision, especially if they are assessed as being at a high risk of offending at the time of their release. How long do they remain high risk for? When might we need to re-assess that risk, and the supervision they are subject to? A national cohort of 3,356 males, spanning 11 years of prison releases in Aotearoa between 2003 and 2013 was used to provide some answers to those questions.